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Red255
438899.1
115743.2
415377.0
Blue205
328879.9
576366.7
549363.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186189100150200250300255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.15.6
80.085.6
Auto9.8
Teleop49.6
End39.7
red by 19.3
3288
#17
79.91.8
68.870.7
Auto10.9
Teleop36.1
End32.8
Second
4153
#31
77.05.0
62.767.8
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End35.5
red by 10.3
5763
#30
66.73.1
52.855.9
Auto11.1
Teleop39.6
End15.9
Third
1157
#47
43.28.4
36.745.1
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End13.8
blue by 20.1
5493
#22
63.31.8
55.757.5
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed