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Red165
133244.0
101190.7
133990.3
Blue250
494472.0
329877.3
294548.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2251610100200300400165250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#16
90.74.3
87.583.2
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
red by 13.4
3298
#15
77.36.2
55.761.9
Auto5.3
Teleop29.0
End43.1
Second
1339
#26
90.34.3
73.068.7
Auto11.1
Teleop37.0
End42.2
red by 18.3
4944
#33
72.05.6
61.066.6
Auto4.9
Teleop34.1
End33.0
Third
1332
#43
44.07.2
44.337.1
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End15.3
blue by 4.8
2945
#20
48.89.3
44.754.0
Auto4.2
Teleop27.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed