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Red207
328879.9
179945.2
399103.6
Blue215
203669.0
197746.2
208376.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341710100200300400207215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#5
103.60.5
105.8105.3
Auto14.7
Teleop41.9
End46.9
red by 26.8
2083
#18
76.74.9
67.572.4
Auto5.8
Teleop36.4
End34.5
Second
3288
#17
79.90.5
69.268.7
Auto10.9
Teleop36.1
End32.8
red by 10.8
69.04.9
63.368.3
Auto9.2
Teleop30.8
End29.1
Third
1799
#46
45.20.8
39.038.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.2
End8.5
blue by 1.1
1977
#25
46.24.9
39.944.9
Auto9.7
Teleop25.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed