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Red285
101190.7
328879.9
364867.5
Blue245
320065.7
459354.1
441875.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191920100300400500285245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#16
90.75.3
89.094.3
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End32.4
red by 15.6
4418
#28
75.16.5
52.358.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End43.6
Second
3288
#17
79.95.3
68.774.1
Auto10.9
Teleop36.1
End32.8
red by 14.1
3200
#29
65.73.9
57.761.7
Auto4.1
Teleop33.2
End28.4
Third
3648
#23
67.58.9
47.156.0
Auto6.5
Teleop35.8
End25.3
red by 13.4
4593
#35
54.16.5
76.182.6
Auto5.0
Teleop28.3
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed