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Red280
158337.9
494472.0
158493.3
Blue155
438653.7
372977.1
197746.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1981700100300400280155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1584
#12
93.37.8
86.194.0
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End48.8
red by 16.2
3729
#32
77.10.7
71.570.8
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End36.1
Second
4944
#33
72.04.7
70.074.7
Auto4.9
Teleop34.1
End33.0
red by 18.3
4386
#45
53.71.2
49.448.2
Auto9.5
Teleop35.9
End8.3
Third
1583
#44
37.97.8
28.336.1
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End7.2
blue by 8.4
1977
#25
46.21.2
44.943.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed