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Red262
3005113.5
406840.4
418387.8
Blue205
215859.2
203669.0
429381.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2301990100300400500262205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.52.8
106.4109.3
Auto14.1
Teleop47.2
End52.2
red by 32.1
81.40.8
73.274.0
Auto10.2
Teleop39.1
End32.1
Second
4183
#13
87.82.8
84.387.1
Auto14.4
Teleop42.5
End30.9
red by 18.7
69.01.2
63.264.4
Auto9.2
Teleop30.8
End29.1
Third
4068
#41
40.44.4
23.628.1
Auto2.5
Teleop13.1
End24.8
blue by 18.7
2158
#36
59.21.2
57.158.3
Auto8.6
Teleop28.7
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed