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Red259
372977.1
3005113.5
449992.6
Blue261
399103.6
438899.1
133990.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295330150200250350400450500259261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.6
114.1113.5
Auto14.1
Teleop47.2
End52.2
red by 9.9
399
#5
103.61.1
108.8107.7
Auto14.7
Teleop41.9
End46.9
Second
4499
#10
92.60.6
93.292.6
Auto12.9
Teleop43.7
End36.0
blue by 6.5
99.11.1
104.4103.3
Auto9.8
Teleop49.6
End39.7
Third
3729
#32
77.10.6
77.777.1
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End36.1
blue by 13.2
1339
#26
90.31.1
95.594.5
Auto11.1
Teleop37.0
End42.2