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Red195
584954.5
901339.9
582398.0
Blue305
639418.2
551588.4
636158.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2081700100300400500600195305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
Unranked
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto9.9
Teleop40.5
End47.5
red by 9.6
5515
Unranked
88.40.0
88.488.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.7
End39.9
Second
5849
Unranked
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto2.8
Teleop26.6
End25.2
blue by 4.3
6361
Unranked
58.80.0
58.858.8
Auto10.1
Teleop33.0
End15.7
Third
9013
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
red by 21.7
6394
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.4
End0.6