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Red205
551663.0
583993.8
630482.7
Blue230
584954.5
901339.9
582398.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2621940100300400500600700205230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5839
Unranked
93.80.0
93.893.8
Auto8.3
Teleop46.7
End38.8
blue by 4.1
5823
Unranked
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto9.9
Teleop40.5
End47.5
Second
6304
Unranked
82.70.0
82.782.7
Auto17.9
Teleop33.6
End31.2
red by 28.2
5849
Unranked
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto2.8
Teleop26.6
End25.2
Third
5516
Unranked
63.00.0
63.063.0
Auto6.0
Teleop33.9
End23.1
red by 23.1
9013
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8