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Red285
584954.5
901339.9
582398.0
Blue280
552277.2
904739.9
670667.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041930100300400500285280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
Unranked
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto9.9
Teleop40.5
End47.5
red by 20.8
5522
Unranked
77.20.0
77.277.2
Auto16.4
Teleop42.3
End18.5
Second
5849
Unranked
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto2.8
Teleop26.6
End25.2
blue by 12.7
6706
Unranked
67.20.0
67.267.2
Auto7.9
Teleop29.6
End29.7
Third
9013
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Level
9047
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8