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Red195
545387.8
637430.0
635338.8
Blue70
908239.9
907639.9
637559.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168143010020030040050060070019570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#11
87.80.0
87.887.8
Auto14.6
Teleop43.5
End29.6
red by 28.3
6375
#26
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto8.0
Teleop21.9
End29.6
Second
6353
#13
38.80.0
38.838.8
Auto3.2
Teleop25.7
End9.9
blue by 1.1
9076
#50
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Third
6374
#64
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto5.5
Teleop23.0
End1.5
blue by 9.9
9082
#54
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds