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Red145
220454.8
637647.2
495340.7
Blue205
345562.5
907939.9
680139.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149151100200250145205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#39
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto5.8
Teleop24.7
End24.3
blue by 7.7
3455
#34
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto5.6
Teleop31.5
End25.4
Second
6376
#68
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End7.1
red by 7.3
6801
#63
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Third
4953
#52
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto4.5
Teleop22.2
End14.0
red by 0.8
9079
#22
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds