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Red303
551663.0
987146.0
77159.5
Blue285
1772103.1
545387.8
582398.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285308100200400500303285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#8
146.00.0
146.0146.0
Auto24.3
Teleop61.1
End60.5
red by 42.9
103.10.0
103.1103.1
Auto12.6
Teleop50.3
End40.2
Second
63.00.0
63.063.0
Auto6.0
Teleop33.9
End23.1
blue by 35.0
5823
#43
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto9.9
Teleop40.5
End47.5
Third
771
#60
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto4.9
Teleop38.1
End16.5
blue by 28.3
5453
#11
87.80.0
87.887.8
Auto14.6
Teleop43.5
End29.6