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Red457
17391.8
195148.1
55879.3
Blue256
99994.3
230117.4
346189.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348323250300400450500457256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
148.10.4
148.0148.4
Auto28.5
Teleop68.5
End51.2
red by 30.6
230
#2
117.41.2
119.7118.5
Auto19.4
Teleop53.6
End44.5
Second
173
#24
91.80.4
91.792.1
Auto9.6
Teleop40.8
End41.5
blue by 2.5
999
#4
94.31.2
96.695.4
Auto9.4
Teleop52.0
End33.0
Third
558
#9
79.30.4
79.279.6
Auto13.0
Teleop41.7
End24.7
blue by 10.1
3461
#14
89.41.2
91.790.5
Auto9.7
Teleop39.6
End40.1