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Red297
667576.2
199192.7
3623100.6
Blue227
17884.1
17586.1
206779.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297264100200400500297227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#17
100.60.4
103.3103.8
Auto7.6
Teleop45.9
End47.2
red by 14.6
175
#7
86.10.6
87.687.0
Auto9.4
Teleop39.2
End37.5
Second
92.70.4
95.495.9
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End47.2
red by 8.6
178
#13
84.10.6
85.785.1
Auto6.1
Teleop42.3
End35.7
Third
6675
#12
76.20.4
78.979.3
Auto6.6
Teleop43.2
End26.4
blue by 3.5
2067
#37
79.70.6
81.280.6
Auto8.9
Teleop36.1
End34.6