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Red279
574665.1
363464.4
195148.1
Blue155
17793.7
83980.4
355538.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238239150200250300350279155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
148.13.3
134.3137.6
Auto28.5
Teleop68.5
End51.2
red by 54.4
177
#10
93.74.6
104.8100.1
Auto12.0
Teleop40.8
End40.9
Second
5746
#28
65.13.3
49.052.3
Auto6.5
Teleop26.3
End32.4
blue by 15.3
839
#6
80.44.6
82.077.4
Auto5.1
Teleop33.1
End42.2
Third
3634
#11
64.43.3
46.449.7
Auto3.5
Teleop34.3
End26.7
red by 25.5
3555
#38
38.94.6
37.532.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
5%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed