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Red285
169986.9
365492.3
514281.8
Blue183
355538.9
195148.1
310446.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223225160180200240260280300285183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#30
92.34.6
85.289.8
Auto7.6
Teleop45.2
End39.5
blue by 55.7
195
#1
148.11.8
137.6135.7
Auto28.5
Teleop68.5
End51.2
Second
1699
#29
86.94.6
69.974.6
Auto5.5
Teleop39.2
End42.2
red by 40.8
3104
#31
46.11.8
40.138.3
Auto7.4
Teleop25.2
End13.6
Third
5142
#27
81.84.6
60.264.9
Auto6.2
Teleop40.4
End35.2
red by 42.9
3555
#38
38.91.8
32.931.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed7%Pressure oddsEarned