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Red290
169986.9
99994.3
346189.4
Blue205
3623100.6
318250.4
365492.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322650100200300400500600290205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#4
94.34.0
74.378.3
Auto9.4
Teleop52.0
End33.0
blue by 6.3
3623
#17
100.62.8
101.298.3
Auto7.6
Teleop45.9
End47.2
Second
3461
#14
89.44.0
80.384.3
Auto9.7
Teleop39.6
End40.1
blue by 2.9
3654
#30
92.32.8
96.293.4
Auto7.6
Teleop45.2
End39.5
Third
1699
#29
86.94.0
70.574.5
Auto5.5
Teleop39.2
End42.2
red by 36.5
3182
#26
50.42.8
50.347.4
Auto4.5
Teleop28.3
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed