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Red255
365492.3
314686.6
310446.1
Blue227
574665.1
455789.0
206779.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20124704006008001,0001,200255227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#30DQ
92.33.9
93.497.2
Auto7.6
Teleop45.2
End39.5
red by 3.3
4557
#18
89.01.8
86.284.4
Auto7.2
Teleop44.7
End37.1
Second
3146
#20
86.63.9
71.275.1
Auto7.1
Teleop38.8
End40.6
red by 6.9
2067
#37DQ
79.71.8
84.382.6
Auto8.9
Teleop36.1
End34.6
Third
3104
#31
46.13.9
32.636.4
Auto7.4
Teleop25.2
End13.6
blue by 19.0
5746
#28
65.11.8
57.856.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.3
End32.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed