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Red190
17793.7
542278.2
363464.4
Blue95
462840.1
18181.9
318250.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267177010030040050019095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
93.75.1
94.689.5
Auto12.0
Teleop40.8
End40.9
red by 11.8
181
#15
81.95.7
85.579.8
Auto8.8
Teleop38.5
End34.5
Second
78.25.1
77.772.6
Auto10.8
Teleop34.8
End32.6
red by 27.8
3182
#26
50.45.7
53.447.7
Auto4.5
Teleop28.3
End17.6
Third
3634
#11
64.45.1
69.464.3
Auto3.5
Teleop34.3
End26.7
red by 24.3
4628
#40
40.15.7
41.635.9
Auto6.4
Teleop28.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed