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Red261
462840.1
230117.4
57153.2
Blue305
498766.9
174086.0
314686.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042370100300400500261305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
117.44.2
113.5117.7
Auto19.4
Teleop53.6
End44.5
red by 30.9
3146
#20
86.65.6
79.384.9
Auto7.1
Teleop38.8
End40.6
Second
571
#41
53.24.2
49.053.2
Auto8.5
Teleop32.3
End12.4
blue by 32.8
1740
#22
86.05.6
80.486.0
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End35.7
Third
4628
#40
40.14.2
35.940.1
Auto6.4
Teleop28.8
End4.9
blue by 26.8
4987
#34
66.95.6
61.366.9
Auto7.4
Teleop37.3
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed