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Red522
17391.8
195148.1
55879.3
Blue185
3623100.6
199192.7
667576.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345285200400500600522185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
148.11.9
145.5147.4
Auto28.5
Teleop68.5
End51.2
red by 47.4
3623
#17
100.62.1
103.5101.5
Auto7.6
Teleop45.9
End47.2
Second
173
#24
91.81.9
89.391.2
Auto9.6
Teleop40.8
End41.5
blue by 0.9
92.72.1
95.693.5
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End47.2
Third
558
#9
79.31.9
76.878.7
Auto13.0
Teleop41.7
End24.7
red by 3.1
6675
#12
76.22.1
79.177.0
Auto6.6
Teleop43.2
End26.4