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Red462
17391.8
195148.1
55879.3
Blue235
3623100.6
199192.7
667576.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353276100200300400500600462235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
148.10.5
147.4148.0
Auto28.5
Teleop68.5
End51.2
red by 47.4
3623
#17
100.60.8
101.5100.6
Auto7.6
Teleop45.9
End47.2
Second
173
#24
91.80.5
91.291.7
Auto9.6
Teleop40.8
End41.5
blue by 0.9
92.70.8
93.592.7
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End47.2
Third
558
#9
79.30.5
78.779.2
Auto13.0
Teleop41.7
End24.7
red by 3.1
6675
#12
76.20.8
77.076.2
Auto6.6
Teleop43.2
End26.4