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Red466
17683.3
195145.8
558105.4
Blue351
999103.8
230125.9
3654106.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38244402006008001,000466351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
145.80.0
145.8145.8
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
red by 20.0
230
#2
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto19.7
Teleop60.4
End45.8
Second
558
#14
105.40.0
105.4105.4
Auto12.9
Teleop60.4
End32.1
blue by 1.3
3654
#27
106.70.0
106.7106.7
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
Third
176
#21
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto7.0
Teleop44.7
End31.6
blue by 20.5
999
#3
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto13.0
Teleop53.8
End37.0