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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Connecticut State Championship
Red409
3654106.7
230125.9
999103.8
Blue289
199197.0
112483.8
107193.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4622680200400600800409289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
125.90.0
125.9→125.9
Auto19.7
Teleop60.4
End45.8
red by 28.8
1991
#17
97.00.0
97.0→97.0
Auto9.3
Teleop44.1
End43.6
Second
3654
#27
106.70.0
106.7→106.7
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
red by 13.3
1071
#33
93.40.0
93.4→93.4
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End34.1
Third
999
#3
103.80.0
103.8→103.8
Auto13.0
Teleop53.8
End37.0
red by 20.0
1124
#10
83.80.0
83.8→83.8
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End32.0