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Red205
17683.3
283680.0
514281.8
Blue196
230125.9
206468.1
363464.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552740100200400500600700800205196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#21
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto7.0
Teleop44.7
End31.6
blue by 42.6
230
#2
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto19.7
Teleop60.4
End45.8
Second
5142
#29
81.80.0
81.881.8
Auto6.2
Teleop40.4
End35.2
red by 13.7
2064
#32
68.10.0
68.168.1
Auto9.3
Teleop39.6
End19.2
Third
80.00.0
80.080.0
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End35.0
red by 15.6
3634
#22
64.40.0
64.464.4
Auto3.5
Teleop34.3
End26.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds12%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds