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Red245
199197.0
107193.4
17683.3
Blue235
17396.3
169986.9
314686.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28928302004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600245235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#17
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto9.3
Teleop44.1
End43.6
red by 0.8
173
#18
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End46.6
Second
1071
#33
93.40.0
93.493.4
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End34.1
red by 6.5
1699
#28
86.90.0
86.986.9
Auto5.5
Teleop39.2
End42.2
Third
176
#21
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto7.0
Teleop44.7
End31.6
blue by 3.3
3146
#26
86.60.0
86.686.6
Auto7.1
Teleop38.8
End40.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds