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Red453
3654106.7
230125.9
999103.8
Blue305
405595.2
455789.0
17396.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4622700100200400500600700800453305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto19.7
Teleop60.4
End45.8
red by 29.6
173
#18
96.30.0
96.396.3
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End46.6
Second
3654
#27
106.70.0
106.7106.7
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
red by 11.5
95.20.0
95.295.2
Auto8.7
Teleop38.8
End47.6
Third
999
#3
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto13.0
Teleop53.8
End37.0
red by 14.8
89.00.0
89.089.0
Auto7.2
Teleop44.7
End37.1