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Red145
379241.5
176953.7
233385.4
Blue230
3284102.7
1619123.6
176358.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20934506008001,0001,2001,4001,600145230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#15
85.44.7
90.285.4
Auto5.4
Teleop47.7
End32.4
blue by 38.2
123.65.4
134.3128.9
Auto24.0
Teleop57.9
End41.7
Second
1769
#48
53.76.3
87.681.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End15.1
blue by 49.0
102.75.4
107.9102.5
Auto11.1
Teleop44.9
End46.7
Third
3792
#10
41.55.8
38.432.6
Auto2.4
Teleop31.8
End7.4
blue by 16.9
1763
#31
58.47.2
68.461.3
Auto2.9
Teleop34.6
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed30%Pressure oddsEarned