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Red190
178541.1
171069.4
663072.4
Blue195
193964.3
511966.8
2410101.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1702800100400500600190195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6630
#37
72.40.9
81.982.8
Auto8.0
Teleop38.5
End25.8
blue by 28.9
101.23.8
98.594.7
Auto10.0
Teleop45.5
End45.7
Second
1710
#16
69.40.9
63.164.0
Auto8.4
Teleop34.7
End26.3
red by 2.6
5119
#13
66.84.3
75.671.3
Auto7.6
Teleop27.6
End31.5
Third
1785
#49
41.10.9
31.031.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.2
End16.5
blue by 23.2
1939
#42
64.33.8
78.474.6
Auto9.1
Teleop36.1
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed