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Red140
182557.5
642478.1
178541.1
Blue196
198777.4
590620.9
1986134.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18029104006008001,000140196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#29
78.13.0
82.979.9
Auto10.9
Teleop36.9
End30.3
blue by 56.3
1986
#11
134.44.4
145.4141.0
Auto35.4
Teleop51.2
End47.8
Second
1825
#44
57.53.0
70.367.3
Auto3.5
Teleop37.6
End16.3
blue by 19.9
1987
#23
77.44.4
90.285.8
Auto11.2
Teleop40.6
End25.6
Third
1785
#49
41.13.0
31.928.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.2
End16.5
red by 20.2
5906
#43
20.94.4
26.922.4
Auto-1.4
Teleop21.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed73%Pressure oddsMissed