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Red200
3284102.7
432969.0
580962.2
Blue180
5801105.9
663072.4
642478.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372910100200400500600200180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.72.2
102.099.8
Auto11.1
Teleop44.9
End46.7
blue by 3.2
105.97.6
111.0103.3
Auto11.8
Teleop48.1
End45.9
Second
4329
#18
69.02.2
73.871.7
Auto9.2
Teleop44.3
End15.5
blue by 9.1
6424
#29
78.17.6
79.972.3
Auto10.9
Teleop36.9
End30.3
Third
5809
#28
62.22.2
56.554.4
Auto8.0
Teleop29.1
End25.1
blue by 10.2
6630
#37
72.47.6
78.871.1
Auto8.0
Teleop38.5
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed11%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed