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Red160
256053.1
198777.4
181082.9
Blue95
432969.0
511966.8
998543.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306221010040050060070016095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#26
82.98.0
105.797.7
Auto5.3
Teleop38.3
End39.3
red by 13.9
4329
#18
69.08.4
92.784.3
Auto9.2
Teleop44.3
End15.5
Second
1987
#23
77.48.0
111.3103.3
Auto11.2
Teleop40.6
End25.6
red by 10.6
5119
#13
66.811.2
88.677.3
Auto7.6
Teleop27.6
End31.5
Third
2560
#21
53.110.7
63.152.5
Auto7.8
Teleop35.0
End10.3
red by 9.4
9985
#12
43.714.0
39.925.9
Auto0.9
Teleop19.6
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed