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Red215
511966.8
200155.7
642478.1
Blue175
199780.8
176358.4
180240.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192188100150250215175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#29
78.12.4
72.374.6
Auto10.9
Teleop36.9
End30.3
blue by 2.6
1997
#46
80.80.5
83.683.1
Auto6.2
Teleop38.2
End36.4
Second
5119
#13
66.82.4
62.665.0
Auto7.6
Teleop27.6
End31.5
red by 8.4
1763
#31
58.40.5
54.754.3
Auto2.9
Teleop34.6
End20.9
Third
2001
#40
55.72.4
44.546.9
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End18.9
red by 15.5
1802
#47
40.20.5
43.943.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed