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Red270
642478.1
495990.5
52594.3
Blue245
200155.7
178541.1
256053.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2881070200400500600270245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#4
94.30.4
89.989.5
Auto13.1
Teleop47.8
End33.4
red by 38.6
2001
#40
55.78.0
46.954.9
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End18.9
Second
90.50.4
85.885.5
Auto10.3
Teleop46.8
End33.4
red by 37.4
2560
#21
53.18.0
44.052.1
Auto7.8
Teleop35.0
End10.3
Third
6424
#29
78.10.4
74.674.3
Auto10.9
Teleop36.9
End30.3
red by 37.1
1785
#49
41.18.0
33.841.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.2
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed