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Red235
233385.4
3284102.7
998932.6
Blue253
511966.8
110855.2
359374.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232190050100150250300350400235253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.71.3
98.299.5
Auto11.1
Teleop44.9
End46.7
red by 27.9
3593
#22
74.84.5
70.374.8
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End34.7
Second
2333
#15
85.41.3
86.587.8
Auto5.4
Teleop47.7
End32.4
red by 18.6
5119
#13
66.84.5
65.069.4
Auto7.6
Teleop27.6
End31.5
Third
9989
#38
32.62.0
30.632.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.3
End5.0
blue by 22.5
1108
#32
55.24.5
50.755.2
Auto10.0
Teleop27.4
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed