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Red115
193964.3
180240.2
198777.4
Blue145
464665.7
591853.6
580962.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208200150250115145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#23
77.45.5
82.276.7
Auto11.2
Teleop40.6
End25.6
red by 11.7
4646
#39
65.73.1
68.865.7
Auto9.7
Teleop35.7
End20.3
Second
1939
#42
64.35.5
69.163.7
Auto9.1
Teleop36.1
End19.2
red by 2.1
5809
#28
62.23.1
66.062.9
Auto8.0
Teleop29.1
End25.1
Third
1802
#47
40.25.5
45.740.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End14.1
blue by 13.4
5918
#41
53.63.1
56.753.6
Auto4.3
Teleop27.2
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed