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Red235
511966.8
445551.1
1986134.4
Blue280
495990.5
392884.3
176953.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792260100400500600235280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#11
134.41.6
136.4134.9
Auto35.4
Teleop51.2
End47.8
red by 43.9
90.52.2
85.587.7
Auto10.3
Teleop46.8
End33.4
Second
5119
#13
66.81.6
69.467.9
Auto7.6
Teleop27.6
End31.5
blue by 17.5
3928
#24
84.32.2
84.786.9
Auto8.7
Teleop41.0
End34.5
Third
4455
#25
51.11.6
52.651.1
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End21.7
blue by 2.7
1769
#48
53.72.2
51.553.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
68%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed