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Red185
172389.4
178541.1
580962.2
Blue187
198465.5
233385.4
432969.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20024304006008001,0001,2001,4001,600185187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.40.7
90.790.0
Auto6.9
Teleop49.0
End33.5
red by 4.0
2333
#15Sur
85.42.6
87.885.3
Auto5.4
Teleop47.7
End32.4
Second
5809
#28Sur
62.20.7
62.962.2
Auto8.0
Teleop29.1
End25.1
blue by 6.8
4329
#18
69.02.6
71.669.0
Auto9.2
Teleop44.3
End15.5
Third
1785
#49
41.10.7
41.841.1
Auto0.4
Teleop24.2
End16.5
blue by 24.4
65.52.6
65.963.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.4
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed