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Red514
1619123.6
193964.3
1986134.4
Blue235
233385.4
176358.4
177594.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992340100300500600700800514235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#11
134.41.5
135.4136.9
Auto35.4
Teleop51.2
End47.8
red by 39.5
94.90.2
96.696.4
Auto9.0
Teleop39.0
End46.9
Second
123.61.5
124.6126.1
Auto24.0
Teleop57.9
End41.7
red by 38.2
2333
#15
85.40.2
87.186.9
Auto5.4
Teleop47.7
End32.4
Third
1939
#42
64.31.5
65.366.8
Auto9.1
Teleop36.1
End19.2
red by 5.9
1763
#31
58.40.2
58.658.4
Auto2.9
Teleop34.6
End20.9