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Red220
198465.5
998543.7
3937115.0
Blue395
495990.5
5801105.9
642478.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22730104006008001,000220395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#34
115.00.2
114.8114.6
Auto15.8
Teleop57.1
End42.1
red by 9.1
105.90.6
103.3103.9
Auto11.8
Teleop48.1
End45.9
Second
65.50.2
65.365.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.4
End20.9
blue by 25.0
90.50.6
87.988.5
Auto10.3
Teleop46.8
End33.4
Third
9985
#12
43.70.3
44.043.7
Auto0.9
Teleop19.6
End23.2
blue by 34.5
6424
#29
78.10.6
75.576.1
Auto10.9
Teleop36.9
End30.3