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Red270
198465.5
663072.4
3937115.0
Blue450
495990.5
5801105.9
642478.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26429804006008001,0001,2001,400270450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#34
115.00.4
114.6115.0
Auto15.8
Teleop57.1
End42.1
red by 9.1
105.91.7
103.9105.6
Auto11.8
Teleop48.1
End45.9
Second
6630
#37
72.40.4
72.072.4
Auto8.0
Teleop38.5
End25.8
blue by 18.1
90.51.7
88.590.2
Auto10.3
Teleop46.8
End33.4
Third
65.50.4
65.165.5
Auto12.1
Teleop32.4
End20.9
blue by 12.7
6424
#29
78.11.7
76.177.8
Auto10.9
Teleop36.9
End30.3