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Red235
17851.5
3464114.5
17791.0
Blue284
365487.0
23686.4
18164.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772330100200400500600700235284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.50.5
114.3113.8
Auto10.0
Teleop40.2
End64.4
red by 27.6
3654
#16
87.01.5
83.484.9
Auto6.2
Teleop43.1
End37.7
Second
177
#4
91.00.6
90.890.2
Auto8.6
Teleop42.5
End40.0
red by 4.6
236
#3
86.41.4
83.284.6
Auto13.3
Teleop34.2
End38.9
Third
178
#32
51.50.5
51.350.7
Auto2.4
Teleop23.5
End25.5
blue by 12.6
181
#29
64.11.5
60.562.1
Auto9.5
Teleop24.9
End29.8