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Red215
17851.5
3464114.5
17791.0
Blue165
107170.1
109956.4
112468.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772010100400500600215165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.50.9
112.9112.0
Auto10.0
Teleop40.2
End64.4
red by 44.5
1071
#14
70.10.9
72.371.4
Auto12.1
Teleop39.5
End18.5
Second
177
#4
91.01.0
89.388.2
Auto8.6
Teleop42.5
End40.0
red by 22.6
1124
#19
68.50.9
70.769.8
Auto7.6
Teleop37.4
End23.6
Third
178
#32
51.50.9
49.848.9
Auto2.4
Teleop23.5
End25.5
blue by 4.9
1099
#10
56.40.9
58.657.7
Auto8.5
Teleop30.1
End17.8