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Red269
22858.5
19590.9
55850.2
Blue195
17569.9
17678.1
217059.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1832250100300400500269195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
90.92.2
84.486.6
Auto16.3
Teleop49.8
End24.9
red by 12.8
176
#7
78.10.3
78.277.9
Auto7.0
Teleop40.7
End30.4
Second
228
#28
58.52.4
51.353.8
Auto8.7
Teleop36.8
End13.1
blue by 11.3
175
#35
69.90.3
70.069.7
Auto6.9
Teleop27.7
End35.2
Third
558
#37
50.22.2
43.745.9
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End24.8
blue by 9.3
2170
#22
59.50.3
59.659.3
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End25.3