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Red215
19590.9
314645.5
363442.3
Blue190
23686.4
574644.9
22858.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184160050100200250300350215190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
90.90.9
83.684.5
Auto16.3
Teleop49.8
End24.9
red by 4.5
236
#3
86.41.1
63.965.0
Auto13.3
Teleop34.2
End38.9
Second
3146
#26
45.50.9
44.445.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End8.5
blue by 13.0
228
#28
58.51.1
42.343.4
Auto8.7
Teleop36.8
End13.1
Third
3634
#24
42.30.9
43.744.6
Auto1.3
Teleop25.5
End15.5
blue by 2.5
5746
#42
44.91.1
49.150.2
Auto6.9
Teleop25.4
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed