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Red145
355527.2
15547.8
99961.2
Blue147
512942.7
314645.5
585643.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111143050200250300350400145147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#31
61.23.9
38.842.7
Auto5.5
Teleop40.3
End15.4
red by 15.7
3146
#26
45.51.2
46.747.9
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End8.5
Second
155
#30
47.83.9
43.847.6
Auto8.3
Teleop28.1
End11.4
red by 3.9
5856
#12
43.91.2
39.740.9
Auto6.9
Teleop19.5
End17.5
Third
3555
#38
27.23.9
27.531.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End10.0
blue by 15.6
42.71.2
45.146.2
Auto6.8
Teleop22.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed