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Red105
634640.6
55850.2
457254.9
Blue170
283642.5
352552.2
17678.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331860100300400105170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4572
#21
54.93.0
50.047.0
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End20.7
blue by 23.2
176
#7
78.13.1
75.872.8
Auto7.0
Teleop40.7
End30.4
Second
558
#37
50.23.0
49.346.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End24.8
blue by 1.9
3525
#11
52.23.1
46.042.9
Auto7.5
Teleop36.6
End8.0
Third
6346
#27
40.63.0
34.731.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.2
End15.7
blue by 1.9
2836
#18
42.53.3
47.644.4
Auto11.4
Teleop20.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed