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Red605
1241126.2
384107.3
2056154.5
Blue451
4946114.5
4917120.4
2169117.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518464200300400600700800605451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.50.5
153.8154.3
Auto35.0
Teleop70.6
End48.8
red by 34.0
120.40.1
121.3121.2
Auto12.7
Teleop61.1
End46.6
Second
1241
#12
126.20.5
125.5126.1
Auto16.2
Teleop58.0
End52.0
red by 8.9
2169
#14
117.40.1
118.2118.1
Auto10.3
Teleop55.2
End51.9
Third
384
#59
107.30.5
106.6107.1
Auto13.4
Teleop55.0
End38.9
blue by 7.3
114.50.1
114.6114.5
Auto14.8
Teleop52.5
End47.3