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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Curie Division
Red470
4143123.2
4500112.1
5205105.9
Blue447
226111.3
5155115.1
449101.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420442250300350400500550600470447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#16
123.20.7
122.3→123.0
Auto14.0
Teleop52.5
End56.6
red by 8.1
5155
#5
115.10.3
117.7→118.0
Auto12.8
Teleop52.2
End50.1
Second
4500
#4
112.10.7
111.2→111.9
Auto13.5
Teleop52.5
End46.0
red by 0.8
226
#15
111.30.3
113.9→114.1
Auto15.0
Teleop50.2
End46.1
Third
5205
#17
105.90.7
105.0→105.7
Auto13.8
Teleop53.5
End38.6
red by 4.5
449
#37
101.40.3
104.0→104.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.1
End40.7